This year’s Oscar ceremony threw out some major surprises, with Green Book beating Roma, the odds-on favourite, and Olivia Coleman triumphing over the much-fancied Glenn Close. Even so, we just can’t help trying to predict winners: with eleven months until the next ceremony Paddy Power is already offering odds on who will win the next award for Best Picture.
Top of the list is The Irishman at 3/1, with The Laundromat at 4/1 and The Last Thing He Wanted at 6/1. In a sign of the changing film industry landscape, all three will be distributed by streaming service Netflix.
Directed by Martin Scorsese, The Irishman will tell the story of the assassination of union leader Jimmy Hoffa. Perhaps most excitingly, it will bring together key players from nearly every major gangster film of the last 50 years, from the Godfather through to Goodfellas. While the Academy may see this as a perfect opportunity to reward Scorsese for his life’s work, the huge expectations surrounding the film may count against it. With a rumoured budget of $175 million, and Robert De Niro, Al Pacino and Joe Pesci appearing together for the first time, it will have a lot to live up to.
Value in Tarantino?
At odds of 7/1, Quentin Tarantino’s upcoming Once Upon a Time in Hollywood might represent the best value in the list. Tarantino is popular with Academy voters and has twice won the Best Original Screenplay Oscar. This may just be the year they reward him with the Best Picture prize, especially as the topic of the film, a mystery set in 1960s Hollywood, is likely to resonate strongly with the Academy.