Alfonso Cuarón
Alfonso Cuarón

The 91st Oscars ceremony may still be still three months away, but that has not stopped intense speculation over which film will be awarded the Academy Award for Best Picture on 24th February 2019.

Nominations for the category have not even been released yet a consensus is building around which films are expected to lead the running. The Bradley Cooper directed “A Star is Born” is the clear early favourite, currently being quoted at 6/4 with William Hill and SkyBet, and 13/8 at Paddy Power.

However, A Star is Born may have benefited from audience familiarity with both its storyline and stars. Also, as previously reported, its momentum may have peaked too soon.

Roma Surge

Rapidly making up some of the ground is “Roma“, the new film from Alfonso Cuarón, who previously won the Best Director Oscar for Gravity in 2014.

Roma is a meditative exploration of the Mexico City of Cuarón’s childhood and has been met with rapturous reviews.

The New York Times describes it as, “an expansive, emotional portrait of life buffeted by violent forces, and a masterpiece,” while Rolling Stone said the film is a “game-changer” and that Cuarón has managed to “craft the best movie of the year.” Roma is currently second favourite with the bookies, with William Hill offering 7/2 on a Best Picture win.

Also in the running is “Green Book“, priced at 6/1 with William Hill and 15/2 with Betfair. As an exploration of racism in America’s recent past, Green Book is exactly the kind of film the Academy tends to favour. However, its director may count against it. Green Book is directed and co-written by Peter Farrelly, best known for “gross-out” comedies like Kingpin and Dumb and Dumber.